Natus Vincere at the PGL Singapore Major 2026
Natus Vincere finished third at IEM Beijing weeks before the Major and made the Bucharest playoffs, but they start Singapore in Stage 2 as only the fifth seed.
Natus Vincere are one of the eight teams invited straight to Stage 2 in Singapore, which runs November 28 to December 1. They are ranked #13 in Valve's Regional Standings (VRS), which makes them the fifth seed of the stage, and their invite is confirmed. After early exits at BLAST Open Porto and ESL Pro League, they reached the playoffs at PGL Masters Bucharest in October and finished third at IEM Beijing in November.
Roster and invite
| Players | Aleksib, iM, b1t, w0nderful, makazze |
| Coach | B1ad3 |
| Region | Europe |
| Valve ranking (Nov 2) | #13 global, 1589 points |
| Starts in | Stage 2 (November 28 - December 1) |
| Invite | Confirmed (no declines before PGL's November 6 deadline) |
Model odds
Natus Vincere are seed 5 of 16 in Stage 2 (November 28 - December 1). Chances from our model:
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| 3-0 in Stage 2 | 14% |
| Advance from Stage 2 (3-0, 3-1 or 3-2) | 54% |
| 0-3 in Stage 2 | 10% |
| Reach the playoffs (top 8) | 16% |
| Win the Major | <1% |
The model plays the event 20,000 times with Valve's Swiss pairing rules; each map win chance comes only from VRS points (Valve's expected-score formula, softened), so it knows nothing about form, maps or roster news. It is not a betting tip. For Stage 2, the opponents are the 8 invited teams plus the most likely qualifiers of the earlier stage; title odds come from full-event runs. Calculated November 8, 2026. Play it out yourself in the Major simulator.
Form going into Singapore
- November 2026, IEM Beijing 2026: 3rd. Natus Vincere beat PARIVISION 2-1 in the quarterfinals (Mirage 14-16, Inferno 13-9, Ancient 13-10) and lost the semifinal 0-2 to The MongolZ (Cache 10-13, Inferno 11-13). They then beat BETBOOM 2-0 in the third-place match (Mirage 13-6, Ancient 13-9).
- October 2026, PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: 5th-8th. They went 3-2 in the Swiss stage, with a win over eventual champions FURIA. They lost the quarterfinal 1-2 to Vitality.
- October 2026, ESL Pro League Season 24: out in the Swiss stage. Natus Vincere opened with a win over G2, but losses to Falcons (1-2) and PARIVISION (1-2) on October 6 and 7 knocked them out.
- August 2026, BLAST Open Porto 2026: 9th-12th. They lost their opening match to M80, then lost 0-2 to G2 in the lower bracket and were eliminated.
Strengths
- Improving form. After group-stage exits in Porto and at ESL Pro League, Natus Vincere reached the playoffs in Bucharest and the semifinals in Beijing. Those were their last two events before the Major.
- Wins over strong teams. They beat FURIA (VRS #3) in Bucharest and BETBOOM (VRS #6) 2-0 in Beijing. Both are Stage 3 invitees.
- Winning close matches. Against PARIVISION in Beijing they lost Mirage in overtime and then won the next two maps.
Weaknesses
- Losses to the top teams. Vitality knocked them out of Bucharest, and The MongolZ beat them in the Beijing semifinal. G2, who also start in Stage 2, beat them 0-2 in Porto.
- Upset risk. Their Porto run started with a loss to M80. M80 (VRS #25) start in Stage 1 and could be among the qualifiers Natus Vincere meet in Stage 2.
- Close maps went the other way in Beijing. Both semifinal maps against The MongolZ ended 13-10 and 13-11.
Key player
w0nderful. He finished IEM Beijing with a 1.42 rating over 17 maps, according to HLTV, and rated 1.54 in the quarterfinal comeback against PARIVISION. In the third-place win over BETBOOM, b1t (1.57) and w0nderful (1.41) led the team.
Pick'Em verdict
Natus Vincere are an advance (3-1/3-2) pick for Stage 2, which matches our model Pick'Em. The model gives them about a 54% chance to advance and about 14% for a 3-0. It only sees their VRS points, so it does not count the third place in Beijing. That result makes the advance pick feel safer than the number suggests. Still, FUT and Nemiga are the model's 3-0 picks, and Natus Vincere lost to Vitality and The MongolZ in their two most recent playoff defeats, so a 3-0 pick is not worth the risk. Do not use them as a 0-3 pick. Run your own scenarios in the Major simulator, or check the format and the full field on the Singapore Major hub.
Sources: HLTV: PGL Major Singapore invites set, CounterStrikeGO: IEM Beijing 2026, HLTV: NAVI reverse-sweep PARIVISION, HLTV: The MongolZ beat NAVI, HLTV: NAVI claim third place in Beijing, KeenGamer: PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 results, HLTV: Falcons beat NAVI at ESL Pro League, HLTV: PARIVISION beat NAVI at ESL Pro League, Players: BLAST Open Porto group stage recap. Updated November 8, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
Who plays for Natus Vincere at the Singapore Major?
Natus Vincere's lineup is Aleksib, iM, b1t, w0nderful and makazze, with B1ad3 as coach, according to HLTV's list of invited rosters from November 2, 2026.
What are Natus Vincere's chances at the Singapore Major?
Our VRS-based model gives Natus Vincere about a 54% chance to get through Stage 2, about 14% to go 3-0 and about 16% to reach the playoffs. The model ignores form, maps and roster changes.
Should I pick Natus Vincere in the Singapore Major Pick'Em?
Natus Vincere are an advance (3-1/3-2) pick in Stage 2, which matches our model Pick'Em. Their form since late October is better than their seed, but they have lost to the strongest teams they met, so a 3-0 pick is a stretch.