Falcons at the PGL Singapore Major 2026
Falcons won the Cologne Major in June with karrigan calling, but have not reached a final since, and they start Singapore as the seventh seed in Stage 3.
Falcons are the reigning Major champions. They won the IEM Cologne Major in June 2026 and beat FURIA 3-0 in the final. They start Singapore in Stage 3 as the seventh seed, seventh in Valve's November 2 standings with 1764 points, and their invite is confirmed. On August 25 they were second in Valve's ranking.
Roster and invite
| Players | karrigan, NiKo, TeSeS, m0NESY, kyousuke |
| Coach | zonic |
| Region | Europe |
| Valve ranking (Nov 2) | #7 global, 1764 points |
| Starts in | Stage 3 (from December 2) |
| Invite | Confirmed (no declines before PGL's November 6 deadline) |
Falcons signed karrigan from FaZe on April 20, 2026. He replaced kyxsan as in-game leader, and kyxsan moved to the bench. At Cologne, karrigan was technically registered as a substitute, so kyxsan received the champion stickers. This time karrigan is part of the five listed in Valve's November standings.
Model odds
Falcons are seed 7 of 16 in Stage 3 (from December 2). Chances from our model:
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| 3-0 in Stage 3 | 13% |
| Advance from Stage 3 (3-0, 3-1 or 3-2) = reach the playoffs | 61% |
| 0-3 in Stage 3 | 5.6% |
| Win the Major | 4.2% |
The model plays the event 20,000 times with Valve's Swiss pairing rules; each map win chance comes only from VRS points (Valve's expected-score formula, softened), so it knows nothing about form, maps or roster news. It is not a betting tip. For Stage 3, the opponents are the 8 invited teams plus the most likely qualifiers of the earlier stages; title odds come from full-event runs. Calculated November 8, 2026. Play it out yourself in the Major simulator.
Form going into Singapore
- November 2026, IEM Beijing: 7th-8th. Lost 0-2 to Natus Vincere in the Group A opener, beat FaZe 2-1 and HEROIC 2-0 in the lower bracket, then lost the lower-bracket final 1-2 to Natus Vincere.
- October 2026, PGL Masters Bucharest: Did not play. Falcons were the only top team to decline the invite.
- October 2026, Thunderpick World Championship (Malta): 4th. Beat Ninjas in Pyjamas 2-0 and 9z 2-1 in the group, then lost 1-2 to BETBOOM in the semifinal and 1-2 to Aurora in the third-place match.
- October 2026, ESL Pro League Season 24: Out in the quarterfinals in Katowice. Went 3-1 in the group (2-0 over TYLOO and Aurora, 2-1 over NAVI, 1-2 loss to Vitality), then lost 0-2 to Spirit.
- August-September 2026, BLAST Open Porto: 3rd-4th. Beat Lynn Vision and Legacy 2-1 each, lost the group final 1-2 to MOUZ, beat G2 2-0 in the quarterfinal and lost 0-2 to Spirit in the semifinal (8-13 Nuke, 11-13 Ancient).
- August 2026, Esports World Cup: 5th-8th. Beat The MongolZ 2-0, then lost 0-2 to Legacy in the quarterfinal (7-13, 10-13).
- June 2026, IEM Cologne Major: Champions. Beat Vitality, Spirit and FURIA in the playoffs, FURIA 3-0 in the final.
Strengths
- They won the last Major. In Cologne they beat Vitality, Spirit and FURIA in the playoffs. karrigan, who was technically a substitute there, is now formally part of the invited five.
- Star firepower. m0NESY rated 1.56 at the Esports World Cup and 1.35 at BLAST Open Porto, and kyousuke added 1.21 and 1.09, per Power Up Gaming.
- Solid group stages. They went 3-1 in the ESL Pro League group, including a 2-0 win over Aurora, won their first two series in the Porto group and won both group series at the Thunderpick World Championship.
Weaknesses
- No final since Cologne. At the Esports World Cup, BLAST Open Porto, the Thunderpick World Championship, ESL Pro League and IEM Beijing, their best results were semifinals in Porto and Malta.
- Losses to the top teams. Spirit eliminated them twice (0-2 in the Porto semifinal and the ESL Pro League quarterfinal), MOUZ and Vitality each beat them 2-1 in group play, and Natus Vincere beat them twice in Beijing.
- Falling ranking. They dropped from second in Valve's ranking (August 25) to seventh (November 2). Since October they have lost 6 of their 13 series at ESL Pro League, the Thunderpick World Championship and IEM Beijing.
Key player
m0NESY is the player Falcons rely on most. Per Power Up Gaming, he rated 1.56 at the Esports World Cup in August and 1.35 at BLAST Open Porto, well ahead of kyousuke's 1.21 and 1.09 at the same events. Falcons' Cologne title gives him a Major win, and Stage 3 Bo1s are where a single player can decide a match.
Pick'Em verdict
Falcons belong in an advance slot (3-1 or 3-2) in Stage 3. The model gives them about a 61% chance to advance but only about 13% for 3-0, and a 5.6% risk of 0-3. Their autumn results support that: they are good enough to beat most of the field, but not MOUZ, Vitality or Spirit lately. Our model Pick'Em also lists them as an advance pick. The defending champions can still go deep, and the Major simulator shows how much depends on their Swiss draw. The full field is on the Singapore Major hub.
Sources: HLTV: PGL Major Singapore invites set, HLTV: November VRS update, Hotspawn: Falcons sign karrigan, Hotspawn: Major stickers and substitutes, Power Up Gaming: Who can stop Falcons, Power Up Gaming: teams with most to prove, GINX: Falcons skip PGL Masters Bucharest, BLAST.tv: ESL Pro League Season 24 results, BLAST.tv: BLAST Open Porto results, Players.com.ua: Porto playoff scores, esports.gg: EWC 2026 CS2 results, Esports.ru: Thunderpick World Championship 2026, CounterStrikeGO: IEM Beijing 2026, Upcomer: Pro League in Katowice. Updated November 8, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
Who plays for Falcons at the Singapore Major?
Falcons' invited lineup is karrigan, NiKo, TeSeS, m0NESY and kyousuke, coached by zonic. karrigan joined from FaZe in April 2026 and replaced kyxsan as in-game leader.
What are Falcons' chances at the Singapore Major?
In our 20,000-run simulation based on Valve's rankings, Falcons get out of Stage 3 about 61% of the time, go 3-0 about 13% of the time and win the Major about 4% of the time.
Should I pick Falcons in the Singapore Major Pick'Em?
Put them in an advance (3-1/3-2) slot in Stage 3, not a 3-0 slot. The model and their results since June both rank them behind MOUZ, Vitality and Spirit. Singapore's Pick'Em rules have not been announced yet.