Astralis at the PGL Singapore Major 2026
Astralis won a LAN title in October, then changed two players, lost cmtry to a VRS rule and will play Stage 2 with a loaned stand-in.
Astralis are one of the eight teams invited straight to Stage 2 in Singapore, which runs November 28 to December 1. They are #14 in Valve's Regional Standings (VRS) and their invite is confirmed. In October they won their first LAN title since December 2019, then rebuilt the lineup, and a VRS rule forces them to use a loaned stand-in.
Roster and invite
| Players | Staehr, phzy, ryu, siuhy, Anlelele (stand-in) |
| Coach | NEO |
| Region | Europe |
| Valve ranking (Nov 2) | #14 global, 1572 points |
| Starts in | Stage 2 (November 28 - December 1) |
| Invite | Confirmed (no declines before PGL's November 6 deadline) |
Roster changes and the cmtry problem. On October 9, 2026, Astralis benched in-game leader HooXi and jabbi, whose contracts end at the end of the year. siuhy and cmtry joined on October 13. But cmtry was still on FUT's VRS roster: a new player has to appear in five of a team's last ten matches to replace the outgoing one, and FUT's new AWPer SunPayus had not done so. If one player is on two invited rosters, only the higher-ranked team (here FUT) can use him, so Astralis brought jabbi back on October 27, one match before cmtry would have counted for them. FUT went out of PGL Masters Bucharest in the quarterfinals on October 29, losing 0-2 to Nemiga, with SunPayus on four matches, so cmtry stayed on FUT's roster at the November 2 cut-off. On November 7 Dust2.us reported that Astralis had completed a loan deal for Anlelele from Sashi to play the Major.
Model odds
Astralis are seed 6 of 16 in Stage 2 (November 28 - December 1). Chances from our model:
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| 3-0 in Stage 2 | 14% |
| Advance from Stage 2 (3-0, 3-1 or 3-2) | 52% |
| 0-3 in Stage 2 | 11% |
| Reach the playoffs (top 8) | 14% |
| Win the Major | <1% |
The model plays the event 20,000 times with Valve's Swiss pairing rules; each map win chance comes only from VRS points (Valve's expected-score formula, softened), so it knows nothing about form, maps or roster news. It is not a betting tip. For Stage 2, the opponents are the 8 invited teams plus the most likely qualifiers of the earlier stage; title odds come from full-event runs. Calculated November 8, 2026. Play it out yourself in the Major simulator.
Form going into Singapore
- October 2026, Stake Ranked Episode 5 (Barcelona): 4th. Astralis lost 0-2 to fnatic with cmtry, then with jabbi back beat magic 2-1 and Inner Circle 2-1 in the lower bracket, before eventual champions Eternal Fire knocked them out 2-1 on October 29.
- October 2026, Stake Pulse Beat III (Stockholm): 5th-8th in siuhy's and cmtry's first event. Astralis won their group with 2-0 over Sashi and 2-1 over HOTU, then lost the quarterfinal 1-2 to MIBR (Inferno 13-8, Cache 14-16 in overtime, Mirage 9-13).
- October 2026, Stake Ranked Episode 4 (Barcelona): champions. After a 1-2 loss to Alliance on October 1 they won five straight series in the lower bracket, over FaZe, BIG, fnatic, Luminosity and, in the October 4 final, Nemiga 3-1 (Mirage 13-6, Ancient 10-13, Nuke 13-5, Cache 13-7).
Strengths
- A recent title. Stake Ranked Episode 4 was Astralis' first LAN trophy since December 2019 and lifted them into the global VRS top 10 at the time.
- A proven lower-bracket run. At Stake Ranked Episode 4 they recovered from an opening loss with five series wins in a row, including FaZe, a Stage 1 team in Singapore, and Nemiga, who start in Stage 2.
Weaknesses
- No settled five. Astralis played October with three different lineups, and Anlelele joined on November 7, three weeks before their first Major match day. Their in-game leader HooXi was benched on October 9.
- Results since the rebuild. A quarterfinal exit at Stake Pulse Beat III and 4th at Stake Ranked Episode 5, at events below the Major's level.
- Slow starts. They opened Stake Ranked Episode 4 with a loss to Alliance and Episode 5 with a 0-2 loss to fnatic, and they lost the Stake Pulse Beat III quarterfinal to MIBR after winning the first map.
Key player
Staehr. At Stake Ranked Episode 4 he had a 1.27 rating, the highest of any player at the event, and in the final against Nemiga he finished with 66 kills and a 1.41 rating, including a 2.02 on Nuke and an ace clutch to close out Cache. With a stand-in in the team, Astralis will need that level from him.
Pick'Em verdict
Our model Pick'Em puts Astralis in the advance group for Stage 2, with about a 52% chance to advance. That is close to a coin flip, and the model does not know about the stand-in who joined on November 7. We would leave them out if you have a team you trust more. Do not use them as a 3-0 pick (about 14%). A 0-3 pick (about 11%) is also a poor bet. You can try other outcomes in the Major simulator, and the full field is on the Singapore Major hub.
Sources: Dust2.us: Astralis to field Anlelele at PGL Major Singapore, HLTV: cmtry expected to miss Singapore Major, HLTV: Astralis bench HooXi and jabbi, Strafe: Astralis bring back jabbi, Pley: FUT's Bucharest exit points to jabbi, not cmtry, Pley: Astralis win in Barcelona, HLTV: Eternal Fire win Stake Ranked, Pley: Astralis go out at Stake Pulse Beat III, Cybersport.ru: Stake Pulse Beat III, Dust2.us: Astralis results, Pley: PGL Major Singapore 2026. Updated November 8, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
Who plays for Astralis at the Singapore Major?
Astralis are set to play with Staehr, phzy, ryu, siuhy and Anlelele, coached by NEO. Anlelele is on loan from Sashi. He replaces cmtry, who is still on FUT's Valve (VRS) roster and therefore cannot play the Major for Astralis. jabbi is still on Astralis' VRS roster but is not expected to play.
What are Astralis' chances at the Singapore Major?
Our VRS-based model gives Astralis about a 52% chance to get out of Stage 2, about 14% to go 3-0, about 11% to go 0-3 and about 14% to reach the playoffs. The model knows nothing about the stand-in or the October roster changes.
Should I pick Astralis in the Singapore Major Pick'Em?
The model puts Astralis in the advance group, but with a loaned stand-in and a new lineup we would leave them out. Do not use them as a 3-0 pick. They are also not a good 0-3 pick, since the model gives that only about 11%.